Resilience and Sustainable Development: Building Adaptive Capacity in a World of Transformations

Carl Folke1, Steve Carpenter2, Thomas Elmqvist3, Lance Gunderson4, C. S. Holling5, and Brian Walker6

Carl Folke is Director of the Interdisciplinary Center of Natural Resources and Environmental Research, and professor at the Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden. He is also associated with the Beijer Institute. His address: Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. calle@system.ecology.su.se

Steve Carpenter is professor of limnology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA. His address: Center for Limnology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, USA. srcarpen@facstaff.wisc.edu

Thomas Elmquist is professor in the Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden. His address: Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. thomase@ecology.su.se

Lance Gunderson is Chair of the Department of Environmental Studies at Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA. His address: Department of Environmental Studies, Emory University, Atlanta GA, USA. lgunder@emory.edu

C.S. Holling is professor emeritus of the University of Florida, and works as an independent scholar from his home in Cedar Key, Florida, USA. His address: Cedar Key, Florida, USA. holling@zoo.ufl.edu

Brian Walker, is Program Director of the Resilience Alliance, (www.resalliance.org) and is based at CSIRO Division of Sustainable Ecosystems, Canberra, Australia. His address: CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems, Canberra, ACT, Australia. Brian.Walker@csiro.au

Abstract

Emerging recognition of two fundamental errors under-pinning past polices for natural resource issues heralds awareness of the need for a worldwide fundamental change in thinking and in practice of environmental management. The first error has been an implicit assumption that ecosystem responses to human use are linear, predictable and controllable. The second has been an assumption that human and natural systems can be treated independently. However, evidence that has been accumulating in diverse regions all over the world suggests that natural and social systems behave in nonlinear ways, exhibit marked thresholds in their dynamics, and that social-ecological systems act as strongly coupled, complex and evolving integrated systems. This article is a summary of a report prepared on behalf of the Environmental Advisory Council to the Swedish Government, as input to the process of the World Summit on Sustainable Development (WSSD) in Johannesburg, South Africa in 26 August 4 September 2002. We use the concept of resilience—the capacity to buffer change, learn and develop—as a framework for understanding how to sustain and enhance adaptive capacity in a complex world of rapid transformations. Two useful tools for resilience-building in social-ecological systems are structured scenarios and active adaptive management. These tools require and facilitate a social context with flexible and open institutions and multi-level governance systems that allow for learning and increase adaptive capacity without foreclosing future development options.


References and Notes

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Rodolphe Gonzalès, Lael Parrott. (2012) Network Theory in the Assessment of the Sustainability of Social-Ecological Systems. Geography Compass 6:10.1111/geco.2012.6.issue-2, 76-88.
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Martin Beniston, Markus Stoffel, Margot Hill. (2011) Impacts of climatic change on water and natural hazards in the Alps: Can current water governance cope with future challenges? Examples from the European “ACQWA” project. Environmental Science & Policy 14, 734-743.
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MARISA CASALE. (2011) ‘I am living a peaceful life with my grandchildren. Nothing else.’ Stories of adversity and ‘resilience’ of older women caring for children in the context of HIV/AIDS and other stressors. Ageing and Society31:08, 1265-1288.
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D. E. Richardson, J. A. Hare, M. J. Fogarty, J. S. Link. (2011) Role of egg predation by haddock in the decline of an Atlantic herring population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 108, 13606-13611.
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N. A. Marshall, I. J. Gordon, A. J. Ash. (2011) The reluctance of resource-users to adopt seasonal climate forecasts to enhance resilience to climate variability on the rangelands. Climatic Change 107, 511-529.
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Tod Jones, John Glasson, David Wood, Elizabeth A. Fulton. (2011) Regional Planning and Resilient Futures: Destination Modelling and Tourism Development—The Case of the Ningaloo Coastal Region in Western Australia. Planning Practice and Research 26, 393-415.
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Esteban Ruiz-Ballesteros. (2011) Social-ecological resilience and community-based tourism. Tourism Management 32, 655-666.
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David D. Breshears, Laura López-Hoffman, Lisa J. Graumlich. (2011) When Ecosystem Services Crash: Preparing for Big, Fast, Patchy Climate Change. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 40:3, 256-263.
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Lalisa Alemayehu Duguma, Herbert Hager. (2011) Farmers’ Assessment of the Social and Ecological Values of Land Uses in Central Highland Ethiopia. Environmental Management 47, 969-982.
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Annica Sandström. (2011) Navigating a complex policy system—Explaining local divergences in Swedish fish stocking policy. Marine Policy 35, 419-425.
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Sarah Coulthard. (2011) More than just access to fish: The pros and cons of fisher participation in a customary marine tenure (Padu) system under pressure. Marine Policy 35, 405-412.
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Devra I. Jarvis, Toby Hodgkin, Bhuwon R. Sthapit, Carlo Fadda, Isabel Lopez-Noriega. (2011) An Heuristic Framework for Identifying Multiple Ways of Supporting the Conservation and Use of Traditional Crop Varieties within the Agricultural Production System. Critical Reviews in Plant Sciences 30, 125-176.
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J P Evans. (2011) Resilience, ecology and adaptation in the experimental city. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 36:10.1111/tran.2011.36.issue-2, 223-237.
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Elizabeth A Fulton, Anthony D M Smith, David C Smith, Ingrid E van Putten. (2011) Human behaviour: the key source of uncertainty in fisheries management. Fish and Fisheries 12:10.1111/faf.2011.12.issue-1, 2-17.
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Monika Winn, Manfred Kirchgeorg, Andrew Griffiths, Martina K. Linnenluecke, Elmar Günther. (2011) Impacts from climate change on organizations: a conceptual foundation. Business Strategy and the Environment20:10.1002/bse.v20.3, 157-173.
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Christopher Ling, Ann Dale. (2011) Nature, place and the creative class: Three Canadian case studies. Landscape and Urban Planning 99, 239-247.
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Thomas O. McShane, Paul D. Hirsch, Tran Chi Trung, Alexander N. Songorwa, Ann Kinzig, Bruno Monteferri, David Mutekanga, Hoang Van Thang, Juan Luis Dammert, Manuel Pulgar-Vidal, Meredith Welch-Devine, J. Peter Brosius, Peter Coppolillo, Sheila O’Connor. (2011) Hard choices: Making trade-offs between biodiversity conservation and human well-being. Biological Conservation 144, 966-972.
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Hallie C. Eakin, Anthony Patt. (2011) Are adaptation studies effective, and what can enhance their practical impact?. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2, 141-153.
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Chengchao Wang, Yusheng Yang, Yaoqi Zhang. (2011) Economic Development, Rural livelihoods, and Ecological Restoration: Evidence from China. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 40:1, 78-87.
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MICHAEL BUXTON, RACHEL HAYNES, DAVID MERCER, ANDREW BUTT. (2011) Vulnerability to Bushfire Risk at Melbourne’s Urban Fringe: The Failure of Regulatory Land Use Planning. Geographical Research49:10.1111/geor.2011.49.issue-1, 1-12.
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ANDREW TAYLOR, SILVA LARSON, NATALIE STOECKL, DEAN CARSON. (2011) The haves and have nots in Australia’s Tropical North – New Perspectives on a Persisting Problem. Geographical Research49:10.1111/geor.2011.49.issue-1, 13-22.
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ELSPETH OPPERMANN. (2011) The discourse of adaptation to climate change and the UK Climate Impacts Programme: De-scribing the problematization of adaptation. Climate and Development 3, 71-85.
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Lily A. House-Peters, Heejun Chang. (2011) Urban water demand modeling: Review of concepts, methods, and organizing principles. Water Resources Research 47.
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M. Glaser, B. Glaeser. 2011. The Social Dimension of Social–Ecological Management. Treatise on Estuarine and Coastal Science, 5-30.
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Aleh Cherp, Jessica Jewell, Andreas Goldthau. (2011) Governing Global Energy: Systems, Transitions, Complexity. Global Policy 2:10.1111/gpol.2010.2.issue-1, 75-88.
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J.C. Pine. 2011. Enhancing the Resilience of Coastal Communities. Treatise on Estuarine and Coastal Science, 271-288.
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Karim-Aly Kassam, Munira Karamkhudoeva, Morgan Ruelle, Michelle Baumflek. (2010) Medicinal Plant Use and Health Sovereignty: Findings from the Tajik and Afghan Pamirs. Human Ecology 38, 817-829.
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Annica Sandström. (2010) Institutional and substantial uncertainty—Explaining the lack of adaptability in fish stocking policy. Marine Policy 34, 1357-1365.
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S.M. Carvalho-Ribeiro, A. Lovett, T. O’Riordan. (2010) Multifunctional forest management in Northern Portugal: Moving from scenarios to governance for sustainable development. Land Use Policy 27, 1111-1122.
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B. L. Turner. (2010) Land change in the southern Yucatán: case studies in land change science. Regional Environmental Change 10, 169-174.
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Ozgur Erol, Devanandham Henry, Brian Sauser. (2010) 3.1.2 Exploring Resilience Measurement Methodologies. INCOSE International Symposium 20, 302-322.
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Petteri Vihervaara, Mia Rönkä, Mari Walls. (2010) Trends in Ecosystem Service Research: Early Steps and Current Drivers. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 39:4, 314-324.
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SUSANNE MENZEL, JACK TENG. (2010) Ecosystem Services as a Stakeholder-Driven Concept for Conservation Science. Conservation Biology 24:10.1111/cbi.2010.24.issue-3, 907-909.
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Ozgur Erol, Brian J. Sauser, Mo Mansouri. (2010) A framework for investigation into extended enterprise resilience. Enterprise Information Systems 4, 111-136.
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B.L. Turner. (2010) Sustainability and forest transitions in the southern Yucatán: The land architecture approach. Land Use Policy 27, 170-179.
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Gwendolynne Young, Humberto Zavala, Johanna Wandel, Barry Smit, Sonia Salas, Elizabeth Jimenez, Melitta Fiebig, Roxana Espinoza, Harry Diaz, Jorge Cepeda. (2010) Vulnerability and adaptation in a dryland community of the Elqui Valley, Chile. Climatic Change 98, 245-276.
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Jonas Joerin, Rajib Shaw. 2010. Chapter 9 Climate change adaptation and urban risk management. Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction: Issues and Challenges, 195-215.
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Loraine McFadden, Edmund Penning-Rowsell, Sue Tapsell. (2009) Strategic coastal flood-risk management in practice: Actors’ perspectives on the integration of flood risk management in London and the Thames Estuary. Ocean & Coastal Management 52, 636-645.
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Emily Boyd, Natasha Grist, Sirkku Juhola, Valerie Nelson. (2009) Exploring Development Futures in a Changing Climate: Frontiers for Development Policy and Practice. Development Policy Review 27, 659-674.
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Newton Bueno, Xavier Basurto. (2009) Resilience and collapse of artisanal fisheries: a system dynamics analysis of a shellfish fishery in the Gulf of California, Mexico. Sustainability Science 4, 139-149.
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Erin Clover Kelly, John C. Bliss. (2009) Healthy Forests, Healthy Communities: An Emerging Paradigm for Natural Resource-Dependent Communities?. Society & Natural Resources 22, 519-537.
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Valeria Andreoni, Stefano Bisogni, Gabriele Buson, Otello Campanelli, Brunella Cozzo, Marco Duriavig, Yuri Kato, Hirokazu Kubo, Roberta Sanasi, Kodai Tateno, Akira Watanabe. (2009) An Integrated Approach to Managing Change. Transition Studies Review 16, 368-378.
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Lihua Yang, Jianguo Wu. (2009) Scholar-participated governance as an alternative solution to the problem of collective action in social–ecological systems. Ecological Economics 68, 2412-2425.
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Serhiy Y. Ponomarov, Mary C. Holcomb. (2009) Understanding the concept of supply chain resilience. The International Journal of Logistics Management 20:1, 124-143.
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Elizabeth T. Kennedy, Hari Balasubramanian, William E. M. Crosse. (2009) Issues of scale and monitoring status and trends in biodiversity. New Directions for Evaluation 2009:10.1002/ev.v2009:122, 41-51.
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Jiunn-Der Duh, Vivek Shandas, Heejun Chang, Linda A. George. (2008) Rates of urbanisation and the resiliency of air and water quality. Science of The Total Environment 400, 238-256.
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Monique F. W. Slegers and Leo Stroosnijder. (2008) Beyond the Desertification Narrative: A Framework for Agricultural Drought in Semi-arid East Africa. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 37:5, 372-380.
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Tabatha J. Wallington, Geoffrey Lawrence. (2008) Making democracy matter: Responsibility and effective environmental governance in regional Australia. Journal of Rural Studies 24, 277-290.
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Regina Lindborg, Jan Bengtsson, Åke Berg, Sara A.O. Cousins, Ove Eriksson, Tomas Gustafsson, Knut Per Hasund, Lisette Lenoir, Aina Pihlgren, Erik Sjödin, Marie Stenseke. (2008) A landscape perspective on conservation of semi-natural grasslands. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 125, 213-222.
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Sophie Bastien-Daigle, Jean-Paul Vanderlinden, Omer Chouinard. (2008) Learning the ropes: Lessons in integrated management of coastal resources in Canada’s Maritime Provinces. Ocean & Coastal Management 51, 96-125.
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Jianguo Liu, Thomas Dietz, Stephen R. Carpenter, Carl Folke, Marina Alberti, Charles L. Redman, Stephen H. Schneider, Elinor Ostrom, Alice N. Pell, Jane Lubchenco, William W. Taylor, Zhiyun Ouyang, Peter Deadman, Timothy Kratz, and William Provencher. (2007) Coupled Human and Natural Systems. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 36:8, 639-649.
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Terence P. Hughes, Lance H. Gunderson, Carl Folke, Andrew H. Baird, David Bellwood, Fikret Berkes, Beatrice Crona, Ariella Helfgott, Heather Leslie, Jon Norberg, Magnus Nyström, Per Olsson, Henrik Österblom, Marten Scheffer, Heidi Schuttenberg, Robert S. Steneck, Maria Tengö, Max Troell, Brian Walker, James Wilson, and Boris Worm. (2007) Adaptive Management of the Great Barrier Reef and the Grand Canyon World Heritage Areas. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 36:7, 586-592.
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Patrick McConney, Roland Baldeo. (2007) Lessons in co-management from beach seine and lobster fisheries in Grenada. Fisheries Research 87, 77-85.
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Bisessar Chakalall, Robin Mahon, Patrick McConney, Leonard Nurse, Derrick Oderson. (2007) Governance of fisheries and other living marine resources in the Wider Caribbean. Fisheries Research 87, 92-99.
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Justin G. Ryan, John A. Ludwig, Clive A. Mcalpine. (2007) Complex adaptive landscapes (CAL): A conceptual framework of multi-functional, non-linear ecohydrological feedback systems. Ecological Complexity 4, 113-127.
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ANDREW J. KERKHOFF and BRIAN J. ENQUIST. (2007) The Implications of Scaling Approaches for Understanding Resilience and Reorganization in Ecosystems. BioScience 57:6, 489-499.
Online publication date: 19Jan2009.

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Josette Garnier, Gilles Billen. (2007) Production vs. Respiration in river systems: An indicator of an “ecological status”. Science of The Total Environment 375, 110-124.
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Henri Décamps. (2007) La vulnérabilité des systèmes socioécologiques aux événements extrêmes : exposition, sensibilité, résilience. Natures Sciences Sociétés 15, 48-52.
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Tobias Lindborg, Regina Lindborg, Anders Löfgren, Björn Söderbäck, Clare Bradshaw, and Ulrik Kautsky. (2006) A Strategy for Describing the Biosphere at Candidate Sites for Repositories of Nuclear Waste: Linking Ecosystem and Landscape Modeling. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 35:8, 418-424.
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Barry Smit, Johanna Wandel. (2006) Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability. Global Environmental Change16, 282-292.
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S. Botton, M. van Heusden, J. R. Parsons, H. Smidt, N. van Straalen. (2006) Resilience of Microbial Systems Towards Disturbances. Critical Reviews in Microbiology 32, 101-112.
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Carl Folke, Thomas Hahn, Per Olsson, Jon Norberg. (2005) ADAPTIVE GOVERNANCE OF SOCIAL-ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 30:1, 441-473.
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Thomas Elmqvist, Fikret Berkes, Carl Folke, Per Angelstam, Anne-Sophie Crépin, and Jari Niemelä. (2004) The Dynamics of Ecosystems, Biodiversity Management and Social Institutions at High Northern Latitudes. AMBIO: A Journal of the Human Environment 33:6, 350-355.
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K.J Wessels, S.D Prince, P.E Frost, D van Zyl. (2004) Assessing the effects of human-induced land degradation in the former homelands of northern South Africa with a 1 km AVHRR NDVI time-series. Remote Sensing of Environment91, 47-67.
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Timothy Ehlinger, Lucica Tofan, Mirela Bucur, Jill Enz, Jason Carlson, Richard Shaker. Application of a Participatory Ex Ante Assessment Model for Environmental Governance and Visualizing Sustainable Redevelopment in Gorj County, Romania. Agricultural and Environmental Informatics, Governance and Management, 61-86.
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